Property fall-through rates have edged downwards in the first three months of 2026 in most regions, despite the market struggling with economic uncertainty.

The proportion of deals that collapse was down in 10 of 13 regions, with the national trend showing a small fall from 24% to 23.7%.

There was a “modest but meaningful” 0.3% decline, analysis by data firm TwentyEA reveals.

The good news is that so far, we’re not seeing a huge impact from the conflict in the Middle East.”

Sales agreed in 2026 are running below last year’s levels, largely due to the Stamp Duty holiday in 2025, TwentyEA says, and overall demand is currently 3.3% lower.

Stuart Ducker, Strategic Solutions Director at TwentyEA, says: “Global disruption can and will weigh on the UK property market. The good news is that so far, we’re not seeing a huge impact from the conflict in the Middle East.

“There is some initial cooling, especially in London and the South East, as fixed rates surge back above 5%, a blow for many borrowers.”

Sharpest improvement

Northern Ireland posted the sharpest improvement in fall through rates at -11.1%, followed by Scotland at -6.3% and Wales at -5.7%.

The clear outlier was Inner London, where the fall-through rate rose from 24.6% to 27%.

“While the overall decline in fall-through rates is modest, it’s still meaningful for agents operating in a challenging market,” Duckers says.

Critical stage

Around 38% of all fall-throughs occur within the first four weeks of a sale being agreed, highlighting a critical early-stage risk for agents.

The highest-risk period is weeks one and two, which together account for just under 16% of all collapsed transactions.

After week 12, the weekly share falls below 3% and continues to decline steadily.

Analysis released by Rightmove earlier this year showed that nearly £392million in potential estate agency revenue was lost in England due to fall throughs last year.

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